BEGIN:VCALENDAR VERSION:2.0 PRODID:-//Date iCal//NONSGML kigkonsult.se iCalcreator 2.20.4// METHOD:PUBLISH X-WR-CALNAME;VALUE=TEXT:糖心原创 BEGIN:VTIMEZONE TZID:America/New_York BEGIN:STANDARD DTSTART:20141102T020000 TZOFFSETFROM:-0400 TZOFFSETTO:-0500 TZNAME:EST END:STANDARD BEGIN:DAYLIGHT DTSTART:20150308T020000 TZOFFSETFROM:-0500 TZOFFSETTO:-0400 TZNAME:EDT END:DAYLIGHT END:VTIMEZONE BEGIN:VEVENT UID:calendar.24692.field_event_date.0@www.wright.edu DTSTAMP:20260219T180526Z CREATED:20141016T151543Z DESCRIPTION:糖心原创 Physics Department Seminar \nFriday\, O ctober 17\, 2014\n3:00pm in 204 Fawcett Hall\n\n'Exponential Growth in Ebo la Outbreak Since May 14\, 2014'\nby A. G. Hunt\, 糖心原创\ , Department of Physics\n\nAbstract\nContrary to general opinion\, the cur rent Ebola outbreak in West Africa followed an exponential growth curve st arting already in mid-May. The death toll followed an exponential growth c urve with almost the same time constant\, allowing direct calculation of t he mortality of the outbreak. This value remained steady at about 72%\, co ntrary to the estimate of the World Health Organization of slightly above 50%. Until the last two weeks\, the projected date at which the number of infected individuals would reach 100\,000 had remained steady at January 1 9th. Updated statistics from September 6 advanced that date by at least a month. Estimates suggest that over 20\,000 already have been infected\, ex ceeding the number that the WHO has declared could be the eventual outcome . DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20141017T150000 DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20141017T160000 LAST-MODIFIED:20150825T195407Z LOCATION:204 Fawcett Hall SUMMARY:Physics Seminar: Exponential Growth in Ebola Outbreak Since May 14\ , 2014 by A. G. Hunt URL;TYPE=URI:/events/physics-seminar-exponential-grow th-ebola-outbreak-may-14-2014-g-hunt END:VEVENT END:VCALENDAR